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Oklahoma City Thunder

2026-27 Season Preview

Model Rank #3 of 30 Elo 1691

2026-27 Power Outlook

Model Rank
#3
of 30 teams
Power Rating
1691
Elo strength
Status
OKC
Entering 2026-27

Our model ranks the Oklahoma City Thunder #3 of 30 entering the 2026-27 season, by Elo strength carried over from last year — won by the New York Knicks over the San Antonio Spurs (4-1). Game-by-game predictions and spread picks return when the season tips off in October.

See full 2026-27 championship odds →

2025-26 Results

L 2026-05-30 vs SAS 103–111
L 2026-05-28 @ SAS 91–118
W 2026-05-11 @ LAL 115–110
W 2026-05-09 @ LAL 131–108
W 2026-04-27 @ PHX 131–122
W 2026-04-25 @ PHX 121–109
L 2026-04-10 @ DEN 107–127
W 2026-04-08 @ LAC 128–110

OKC vs Every NBA Team — AI Predictions

Click any matchup for full spread analysis, net rating comparison, and head-to-head history.

BOS
BOS
+9.4 NRT
CLE
CLE
+9.2 NRT
MIN
MIN
+5.0 NRT
LAC
LAC
+4.9 NRT
MEM
MEM
+4.7 NRT
HOU
HOU
+4.6 NRT
NYK
NYK
+4.0 NRT
DEN
DEN
+3.8 NRT
GSW
GSW
+3.2 NRT
MIL
MIL
+2.4 NRT
IND
IND
+2.1 NRT
DET
DET
+2.1 NRT
LAL
LAL
+1.2 NRT
SAC
SAC
+0.6 NRT
MIA
MIA
+0.4 NRT
ORL
ORL
-0.2 NRT
ATL
ATL
-1.1 NRT
DAL
DAL
-1.3 NRT
CHI
CHI
-1.6 NRT
POR
POR
-2.7 NRT
SAS
SAS
-2.8 NRT
PHX
PHX
-3.0 NRT
TOR
TOR
-4.1 NRT
PHI
PHI
-6.3 NRT
BKN
BKN
-7.3 NRT
CHA
CHA
-9.1 NRT
UTA
UTA
-9.2 NRT
NOP
NOP
-9.4 NRT
WAS
WAS
-12.2 NRT

How Our OKC Predictions Work

Our XGBoost model is trained on seasons of NBA data. For every Oklahoma City Thunder game, it calculates the net rating differential — the strongest predictor of game outcomes — and converts it to a win probability and implied spread. When that model spread differs from Vegas by more than 3 points, we flag it as a high-confidence pick. See our track record. Daily OKC predictions return when the 2026-27 season tips off in October.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do the Oklahoma City Thunder rank entering the 2026-27 season?

Our AI model ranks the Oklahoma City Thunder #3 of 30 in the NBA by power rating entering 2026-27, based on Elo strength carried over from last season.

What are the Oklahoma City Thunder's 2026-27 championship odds?

Our model's 2026-27 championship futures are derived from team strength ratings. See the full board on our championship odds page.

When do Oklahoma City Thunder game predictions return?

Daily AI game predictions and spread picks for the Oklahoma City Thunder resume when the 2026-27 NBA season tips off in October.

Get the 2026-27 Season Preview

Model power rankings, championship odds, and opening-night OKC picks — straight to your inbox, free.