If OKC visited LAC today, our model would lean Oklahoma City Thunder with a 56.6% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -7.8 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

12.7

Net Rating

4.9

119.2

Offensive Rating

114.3

106.6

Defensive Rating

109.4

100.9

Pace

98.2

OKC (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

OKC 75-22 L2 Avg margin last 5: -5.6

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

W SAS

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

OKC wins

2026-04-08 OKC 128 @ LAC 110 OKC W

2025-12-18 OKC 101 @ LAC 122 LAC W

2025-11-04 OKC 126 @ LAC 107 OKC W

2025-03-23 OKC 103 @ LAC 101 OKC W

2025-01-02 OKC 98 @ LAC 116 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7145 tracked

75.0%

High Conf.

>65% picks

82.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 56.6% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.0% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score