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Miami Heat

2026-27 Season Preview

Model Rank #18 of 30 Elo 1525

2026-27 Power Outlook

Model Rank
#18
of 30 teams
Power Rating
1525
Elo strength
Status
MIA
Entering 2026-27

Our model ranks the Miami Heat #18 of 30 entering the 2026-27 season, by Elo strength carried over from last year — won by the New York Knicks over the San Antonio Spurs (4-1). Game-by-game predictions and spread picks return when the season tips off in October.

See full 2026-27 championship odds →

2025-26 Results

W 2026-04-12 vs ATL 143–117
W 2026-04-10 @ WAS 140–117
L 2026-04-09 @ TOR 114–128
L 2026-04-07 @ TOR 95–121
W 2026-04-04 vs WAS 152–136
L 2026-04-01 vs BOS 129–147
W 2026-03-30 vs PHI 119–109
L 2026-03-29 @ IND 118–135

MIA vs Every NBA Team — AI Predictions

Click any matchup for full spread analysis, net rating comparison, and head-to-head history.

OKC
OKC
+12.7 NRT
BOS
BOS
+9.4 NRT
CLE
CLE
+9.2 NRT
MIN
MIN
+5.0 NRT
LAC
LAC
+4.9 NRT
MEM
MEM
+4.7 NRT
HOU
HOU
+4.6 NRT
NYK
NYK
+4.0 NRT
DEN
DEN
+3.8 NRT
GSW
GSW
+3.2 NRT
MIL
MIL
+2.4 NRT
IND
IND
+2.1 NRT
DET
DET
+2.1 NRT
LAL
LAL
+1.2 NRT
SAC
SAC
+0.6 NRT
ORL
ORL
-0.2 NRT
ATL
ATL
-1.1 NRT
DAL
DAL
-1.3 NRT
CHI
CHI
-1.6 NRT
POR
POR
-2.7 NRT
SAS
SAS
-2.8 NRT
PHX
PHX
-3.0 NRT
TOR
TOR
-4.1 NRT
PHI
PHI
-6.3 NRT
BKN
BKN
-7.3 NRT
CHA
CHA
-9.1 NRT
UTA
UTA
-9.2 NRT
NOP
NOP
-9.4 NRT
WAS
WAS
-12.2 NRT

How Our MIA Predictions Work

Our XGBoost model is trained on seasons of NBA data. For every Miami Heat game, it calculates the net rating differential — the strongest predictor of game outcomes — and converts it to a win probability and implied spread. When that model spread differs from Vegas by more than 3 points, we flag it as a high-confidence pick. See our track record. Daily MIA predictions return when the 2026-27 season tips off in October.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do the Miami Heat rank entering the 2026-27 season?

Our AI model ranks the Miami Heat #18 of 30 in the NBA by power rating entering 2026-27, based on Elo strength carried over from last season.

What are the Miami Heat's 2026-27 championship odds?

Our model's 2026-27 championship futures are derived from team strength ratings. See the full board on our championship odds page.

When do Miami Heat game predictions return?

Daily AI game predictions and spread picks for the Miami Heat resume when the 2026-27 NBA season tips off in October.

Get the 2026-27 Season Preview

Model power rankings, championship odds, and opening-night MIA picks — straight to your inbox, free.