If BKN visited OKC today, our model would lean Oklahoma City Thunder with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +20.0 points for OKC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

12.7

108.1

Offensive Rating

119.2

115.4

Defensive Rating

106.6

96.7

Pace

100.9

BKN (Away) OKC (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

OKC 75-23 L3 Avg margin last 5: -10.2

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

Head-to-Head History

OKC wins

BKN wins

2026-03-18 BKN 121 @ OKC 92 BKN W

2026-02-20 BKN 86 @ OKC 105 OKC W

2025-02-26 BKN 129 @ OKC 121 BKN W

2025-01-19 BKN 101 @ OKC 127 OKC W

2024-01-05 BKN 115 @ OKC 124 OKC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score