2026 WNBA Championship Odds
Live title probabilities for all 15 WNBA teams, implied by real-money prediction-market prices on each team's championship contract.
As of 2026-07-18 · Today's WNBA games →
All 15 Teams
Market Price — implied probability from real-money prediction-market trading (kalshi.com).
| # | Team | Market Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Minnesota Lynx
|
37.0%
|
| 2 |
Las Vegas Aces
|
20.0%
|
| 3 |
New York Liberty
|
16.0%
|
| 4 |
Golden State Valkyries
|
14.0%
|
| 5 |
Atlanta Dream
|
8.0%
|
| 6 |
Indiana Fever
|
7.0%
|
| 7 |
Dallas Wings
|
5.0%
|
| 8 |
Washington Mystics
|
1.0%
|
| 9 |
Toronto Tempo
|
1.0%
|
| 10 |
Seattle Storm
|
1.0%
|
| 11 |
Phoenix Mercury
|
1.0%
|
| 12 |
Portland Fire
|
1.0%
|
| 13 |
Los Angeles Sparks
|
1.0%
|
| 14 |
Connecticut Sun
|
1.0%
|
| 15 |
Chicago Sky
|
1.0%
|
How to Read These Odds
Market Price is the last traded price on each team's championship contract at Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market. A contract pays $1 if the team wins the 2026 WNBA title, so a 35¢ price implies roughly a 35% chance. Real money moves these prices — injuries, trades, and streaks show up here within hours.
Prices across all teams typically add to slightly more than 100% (currently 115%) — that gap is the bid-ask spread, not a math error. Thinly traded long shots carry the most price noise.
Unlike our NBA championship odds, this board is market-only for now — our ELO model is trained on NBA games. A WNBA model layer is planned for later this season.
Not betting advice. See Responsible Gambling if you or someone you know has a problem.
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Compare these market prices against sportsbook futures — the gaps are where the value hides.
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