If WAS visited ORL today, our model would lean Orlando Magic with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +12.0 points for ORL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-12.2

Net Rating

-0.2

105.8

Offensive Rating

108.9

118.0

Defensive Rating

109.1

101.8

Pace

96.5

WAS (Away) ORL (Home)

Recent Form

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

Head-to-Head History

ORL wins

WAS wins

2026-03-12 WAS 131 @ ORL 136 ORL W

2026-03-03 WAS 109 @ ORL 126 ORL W

2026-01-06 WAS 112 @ ORL 120 ORL W

2025-11-01 WAS 125 @ ORL 94 WAS W

2025-04-03 WAS 109 @ ORL 97 WAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score