If WAS visited LAL today, our model would lean Los Angeles Lakers with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +13.4 points for LAL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-12.2

Net Rating

1.2

105.8

Offensive Rating

115.0

118.0

Defensive Rating

113.8

101.8

Pace

98.3

WAS (Away) LAL (Home)

Recent Form

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

Head-to-Head History

LAL wins

WAS wins

2026-03-30 WAS 101 @ LAL 120 LAL W

2026-01-30 WAS 142 @ LAL 111 WAS W

2025-01-30 WAS 134 @ LAL 96 WAS W

2025-01-21 WAS 88 @ LAL 111 LAL W

2024-04-03 WAS 125 @ LAL 120 WAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score