If WAS visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +17.1 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-12.2

Net Rating

4.9

105.8

Offensive Rating

114.3

118.0

Defensive Rating

109.4

101.8

Pace

98.2

WAS (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

WAS wins

2026-01-19 WAS 110 @ LAC 106 WAS W

2026-01-14 WAS 105 @ LAC 119 LAC W

2025-01-23 WAS 93 @ LAC 110 LAC W

2024-11-27 WAS 121 @ LAC 96 WAS W

2024-03-01 WAS 115 @ LAC 140 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score