If WAS visited DET today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +14.3 points for DET at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-12.2

Net Rating

2.1

105.8

Offensive Rating

114.6

118.0

Defensive Rating

112.5

101.8

Pace

100.3

WAS (Away) DET (Home)

Recent Form

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

DET wins

WAS wins

2026-03-19 WAS 117 @ DET 95 WAS W

2026-03-17 WAS 130 @ DET 117 WAS W

2026-02-05 WAS 126 @ DET 117 WAS W

2025-11-10 WAS 135 @ DET 137 DET W

2025-03-13 WAS 129 @ DET 125 WAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score