If WAS visited CHA today, our model would lean Charlotte Hornets with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +3.1 points for CHA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-12.2

Net Rating

-9.1

105.8

Offensive Rating

106.7

118.0

Defensive Rating

115.7

101.8

Pace

98.2

WAS (Away) CHA (Home)

Recent Form

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

Head-to-Head History

CHA wins

WAS wins

2026-02-22 WAS 129 @ CHA 112 WAS W

2026-01-24 WAS 115 @ CHA 119 CHA W

2025-12-23 WAS 109 @ CHA 126 CHA W

2025-10-26 WAS 139 @ CHA 113 WAS W

2025-03-01 WAS 113 @ CHA 100 WAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score