If WAS visited BKN today, our model would lean Brooklyn Nets with a 65.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +4.9 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-12.2

Net Rating

-7.3

105.8

Offensive Rating

108.1

118.0

Defensive Rating

115.4

101.8

Pace

96.7

WAS (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

WAS wins

2026-04-05 WAS 115 @ BKN 121 BKN W

2026-02-07 WAS 113 @ BKN 127 BKN W

2026-01-02 WAS 99 @ BKN 119 BKN W

2025-11-16 WAS 129 @ BKN 106 WAS W

2025-03-29 WAS 115 @ BKN 112 WAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score