If UTA visited WAS today, our model would lean Utah Jazz with a 56.6% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -3.0 points for WAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

-12.2

110.2

Offensive Rating

105.8

119.4

Defensive Rating

118.0

100.8

Pace

101.8

UTA (Away) WAS (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

Head-to-Head History

WAS wins

UTA wins

2026-03-25 UTA 133 @ WAS 110 UTA W

2026-03-05 UTA 122 @ WAS 112 UTA W

2025-03-19 UTA 112 @ WAS 128 WAS W

2025-03-05 UTA 122 @ WAS 125 WAS W

2024-03-04 UTA 115 @ WAS 127 WAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 56.6% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score