If UTA visited POR today, our model would lean Portland Trail Blazers with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +6.5 points for POR at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

-2.7

110.2

Offensive Rating

111.0

119.4

Defensive Rating

113.7

100.8

Pace

99.5

UTA (Away) POR (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

POR 43-44 L3 Avg margin last 5: -12.4

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

Head-to-Head History

POR wins

UTA wins

2026-03-13 UTA 114 @ POR 124 POR W

2026-02-12 UTA 135 @ POR 119 UTA W

2026-01-05 UTA 117 @ POR 137 POR W

2025-10-29 UTA 136 @ POR 134 UTA W

2025-04-09 UTA 126 @ POR 133 POR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score