If UTA visited PHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +2.9 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

-6.3

110.2

Offensive Rating

111.0

119.4

Defensive Rating

117.3

100.8

Pace

98.1

UTA (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

UTA wins

2026-03-21 UTA 126 @ PHI 116 UTA W

2026-03-04 UTA 102 @ PHI 106 PHI W

2025-03-09 UTA 122 @ PHI 126 PHI W

2024-12-28 UTA 114 @ PHI 111 UTA W

2024-02-01 UTA 127 @ PHI 124 UTA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score