If UTA visited DET today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +11.3 points for DET at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.2

Net Rating

2.1

110.2

Offensive Rating

114.6

119.4

Defensive Rating

112.5

100.8

Pace

100.3

UTA (Away) DET (Home)

Recent Form

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

DET wins

UTA wins

2025-12-26 UTA 129 @ DET 131 DET W

2025-11-05 UTA 103 @ DET 114 DET W

2025-03-03 UTA 134 @ DET 106 UTA W

2024-12-19 UTA 126 @ DET 119 UTA W

2024-01-03 UTA 148 @ DET 154 DET W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score