If TOR visited ORL today, our model would lean Orlando Magic with a 58.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +3.9 points for ORL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-4.1

Net Rating

-0.2

109.6

Offensive Rating

108.9

113.6

Defensive Rating

109.1

100.6

Pace

96.5

TOR (Away) ORL (Home)

Recent Form

TOR 49-40 L1 Avg margin last 5: +2.2

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

W CLE

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

Head-to-Head History

ORL wins

TOR wins

2026-03-29 TOR 87 @ ORL 139 ORL W

2026-01-30 TOR 120 @ ORL 130 ORL W

2025-12-29 TOR 106 @ ORL 107 ORL W

2025-03-04 TOR 114 @ ORL 113 TOR W

2025-03-02 TOR 104 @ ORL 102 TOR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 58.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score