If TOR visited BKN today, our model would lean Toronto Raptors with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -3.2 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-4.1

Net Rating

-7.3

109.6

Offensive Rating

108.1

113.6

Defensive Rating

115.4

100.6

Pace

96.7

TOR (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

TOR 49-40 L1 Avg margin last 5: +2.2

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

W CLE

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

TOR wins

2026-04-12 TOR 101 @ BKN 136 BKN W

2025-12-21 TOR 81 @ BKN 96 BKN W

2025-11-23 TOR 109 @ BKN 119 BKN W

2025-11-11 TOR 119 @ BKN 109 TOR W

2025-04-06 TOR 120 @ BKN 109 TOR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score