If SAS visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 73.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +6.8 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-2.8

Net Rating

4.0

113.5

Offensive Rating

117.3

116.3

Defensive Rating

113.3

100.1

Pace

97.6

SAS (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

SAS 74-26 W2 Avg margin last 5: +5.6

W OKC

L OKC

W OKC

L OKC

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

SAS wins

2026-06-13 SAS 94 @ NYK 90 SAS W

2026-06-10 SAS 106 @ NYK 107 NYK W

2026-06-08 SAS 115 @ NYK 111 SAS W

2026-06-05 SAS 105 @ NYK 104 SAS W

2026-06-03 SAS 105 @ NYK 95 SAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

68.1%

All Games

1358 tracked

75.7%

High Conf.

>65% picks

76.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 73.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.7% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score