If SAS visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +6.8 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-2.8

Net Rating

4.0

113.5

Offensive Rating

117.3

116.3

Defensive Rating

113.3

100.1

Pace

97.6

SAS (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

SAS 75-26 W3 Avg margin last 5: +10.2

W OKC

L OKC

W OKC

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

SAS wins

2026-03-01 SAS 89 @ NYK 114 NYK W

2025-12-31 SAS 132 @ NYK 134 NYK W

2025-03-19 SAS 105 @ NYK 120 NYK W

2024-12-25 SAS 114 @ NYK 117 NYK W

2024-03-29 SAS 126 @ NYK 130 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score