If SAC visited BKN today, our model would lean Sacramento Kings with a 56.6% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -7.9 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

0.6

Net Rating

-7.3

115.9

Offensive Rating

108.1

115.3

Defensive Rating

115.4

98.9

Pace

96.7

SAC (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

SAC 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -7.2

L POR

W GSW

L GSW

L LAC

W NOP

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

SAC wins

2026-03-29 SAC 99 @ BKN 116 BKN W

2026-03-22 SAC 122 @ BKN 126 BKN W

2025-01-27 SAC 110 @ BKN 96 SAC W

2024-11-24 SAC 108 @ BKN 103 SAC W

2024-04-07 SAC 107 @ BKN 77 SAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 56.6% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score