If POR visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +6.7 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-2.7

Net Rating

4.0

111.0

Offensive Rating

117.3

113.7

Defensive Rating

113.3

99.5

Pace

97.6

POR (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

POR 43-44 L3 Avg margin last 5: -12.4

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

POR wins

2026-01-30 POR 97 @ NYK 127 NYK W

2026-01-11 POR 123 @ NYK 114 POR W

2025-03-30 POR 93 @ NYK 110 NYK W

2025-03-12 POR 114 @ NYK 113 POR W

2024-03-14 POR 105 @ NYK 93 POR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score