If POR visited BKN today, our model would lean Portland Trail Blazers with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -4.6 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-2.7

Net Rating

-7.3

111.0

Offensive Rating

108.1

113.7

Defensive Rating

115.4

99.5

Pace

96.7

POR (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

POR 43-44 L3 Avg margin last 5: -12.4

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

POR wins

2026-03-23 POR 99 @ BKN 134 BKN W

2026-03-16 POR 114 @ BKN 95 POR W

2025-02-28 POR 121 @ BKN 102 POR W

2025-01-14 POR 132 @ BKN 114 POR W

2024-01-17 POR 103 @ BKN 105 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score