If PHX visited PHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 65.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -3.3 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-3.0

Net Rating

-6.3

114.7

Offensive Rating

111.0

117.7

Defensive Rating

117.3

98.3

Pace

98.1

PHX (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

PHX 45-41 L4 Avg margin last 5: -7.4

L OKC

W OKC

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

PHX wins

2026-02-07 PHX 109 @ PHI 103 PHX W

2026-01-20 PHX 116 @ PHI 110 PHX W

2025-01-06 PHX 109 @ PHI 99 PHX W

2024-11-04 PHX 116 @ PHI 118 PHI W

2024-03-20 PHX 102 @ PHI 115 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score