If PHX visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 65.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +7.9 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-3.0

Net Rating

4.9

114.7

Offensive Rating

114.3

117.7

Defensive Rating

109.4

98.3

Pace

98.2

PHX (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

PHX 45-41 L4 Avg margin last 5: -7.4

L OKC

W OKC

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

PHX wins

2026-02-01 PHX 117 @ LAC 93 PHX W

2025-11-08 PHX 114 @ LAC 103 PHX W

2025-11-06 PHX 102 @ LAC 115 LAC W

2025-10-24 PHX 102 @ LAC 129 LAC W

2025-03-04 PHX 117 @ LAC 119 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score