If PHX visited BKN today, our model would lean Phoenix Suns with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -4.3 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-3.0

Net Rating

-7.3

114.7

Offensive Rating

108.1

117.7

Defensive Rating

115.4

98.3

Pace

96.7

PHX (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

PHX 45-41 L4 Avg margin last 5: -7.4

L OKC

W OKC

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

PHX wins

2026-01-27 PHX 102 @ BKN 106 BKN W

2026-01-19 PHX 126 @ BKN 117 PHX W

2025-01-22 PHX 108 @ BKN 84 PHX W

2024-11-27 PHX 127 @ BKN 117 PHX W

2024-01-31 PHX 136 @ BKN 120 PHX W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score