If PHI visited UTA today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -2.9 points for UTA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-6.3

Net Rating

-9.2

111.0

Offensive Rating

110.2

117.3

Defensive Rating

119.4

98.1

Pace

100.8

PHI (Away) UTA (Home)

Recent Form

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

Head-to-Head History

UTA wins

PHI wins

2026-03-21 PHI 126 @ UTA 116 PHI W

2026-03-04 PHI 102 @ UTA 106 UTA W

2025-03-09 PHI 122 @ UTA 126 UTA W

2024-12-28 PHI 114 @ UTA 111 PHI W

2024-02-01 PHI 127 @ UTA 124 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score