If PHI visited SAC today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 73.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +6.9 points for SAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-6.3

Net Rating

0.6

111.0

Offensive Rating

115.9

117.3

Defensive Rating

115.3

98.1

Pace

98.9

PHI (Away) SAC (Home)

Recent Form

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

SAC 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -7.2

L POR

W GSW

L GSW

L LAC

W NOP

Head-to-Head History

SAC wins

PHI wins

2026-03-19 PHI 139 @ SAC 118 PHI W

2026-01-29 PHI 111 @ SAC 113 SAC W

2025-01-29 PHI 104 @ SAC 117 SAC W

2025-01-01 PHI 107 @ SAC 113 SAC W

2024-03-25 PHI 96 @ SAC 108 SAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 73.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score