NBAANALYTICS
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These teams play today!

Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks โ€” see Today's Picks for live odds & edge analysis.

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks
AI Prediction & Odds Analysis

PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
49-44 L4
-6.3 NRT
at
@
NYK
New York Knicks
65-31 W11
+4.0 NRT

Tonight's AI Pick

AI Pick
NYK NYK
Model Spread
NYK -7.6
Win Prob.
80.2%
Our XGBoost model gives New York Knicks a 80.2% win probability tonight based on a net rating advantage of +10.3 points for NYK at home.

Prediction based on current season ratings & ELO. Updated daily. Not financial advice โ€” bet responsibly.

Team Stats Comparison

2025โ€“26 Season
-6.3
Net Rating
4.0
111.0
Offensive Rating
117.3
117.3
Defensive Rating
113.3
98.1
Pace
97.6
PHI (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

PHI PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0
L NYK
L NYK
L NYK
L NYK
W BOS
NYK NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4
W CLE
W CLE
W CLE
W CLE
W PHI

Head-to-Head History

8
NYK wins
2
PHI wins
2026-05-10 PHI 144 @ NYK 114 PHI W
2026-05-08 PHI 108 @ NYK 94 PHI W
2026-05-06 PHI 102 @ NYK 108 NYK W
2026-05-04 PHI 98 @ NYK 137 NYK W
2026-02-11 PHI 138 @ NYK 89 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made โ€” not specific to this matchup.

68.1%
All Games
1358 tracked
75.7%
High Conf.
>65% picks
76.0%
Last 50
recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier โ€” a 80.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.7% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score

Explore More

PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
All predictions & analysis →
 NYK
New York Knicks
All predictions & analysis →
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