If PHI visited NOP today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 56.6% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -3.1 points for NOP at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-6.3

Net Rating

-9.4

111.0

Offensive Rating

109.7

117.3

Defensive Rating

119.1

98.1

Pace

99.8

PHI (Away) NOP (Home)

Recent Form

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

Head-to-Head History

NOP wins

PHI wins

2026-02-21 PHI 111 @ NOP 126 NOP W

2026-01-31 PHI 114 @ NOP 124 NOP W

2025-03-24 PHI 99 @ NOP 112 NOP W

2025-01-10 PHI 123 @ NOP 115 PHI W

2024-03-08 PHI 103 @ NOP 95 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 56.6% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score