If ORL visited SAC today, our model would lean Orlando Magic with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +0.8 points for SAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-0.2

Net Rating

0.6

108.9

Offensive Rating

115.9

109.1

Defensive Rating

115.3

96.5

Pace

98.9

ORL (Away) SAC (Home)

Recent Form

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

SAC 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -7.2

L POR

W GSW

L GSW

L LAC

W NOP

Head-to-Head History

SAC wins

ORL wins

2026-03-26 ORL 117 @ SAC 121 SAC W

2026-02-19 ORL 131 @ SAC 94 ORL W

2025-03-29 ORL 91 @ SAC 121 SAC W

2025-02-05 ORL 130 @ SAC 111 ORL W

2024-03-23 ORL 109 @ SAC 107 ORL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score