If ORL visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +4.2 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-0.2

Net Rating

4.0

108.9

Offensive Rating

117.3

109.1

Defensive Rating

113.3

96.5

Pace

97.6

ORL (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

ORL wins

2025-12-13 ORL 132 @ NYK 120 ORL W

2025-12-07 ORL 100 @ NYK 106 NYK W

2025-11-22 ORL 121 @ NYK 133 NYK W

2025-11-12 ORL 124 @ NYK 107 ORL W

2025-01-06 ORL 103 @ NYK 94 ORL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score