If ORL visited DAL today, our model would lean Orlando Magic with a 73.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -1.1 points for DAL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-0.2

Net Rating

-1.3

108.9

Offensive Rating

113.7

109.1

Defensive Rating

115.0

96.5

Pace

100.2

ORL (Away) DAL (Home)

Recent Form

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

DAL 26-56 W1 Avg margin last 5: -2.0

W CHI

L SAS

L PHX

L LAC

W LAL

Head-to-Head History

DAL wins

ORL wins

2026-04-03 ORL 138 @ DAL 127 ORL W

2026-03-05 ORL 114 @ DAL 115 DAL W

2025-03-27 ORL 101 @ DAL 92 ORL W

2024-11-03 ORL 85 @ DAL 108 DAL W

2024-01-29 ORL 129 @ DAL 131 DAL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 73.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score