If NYK visited WAS today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 82.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -16.2 points for WAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-12.2

117.3

Offensive Rating

105.8

113.3

Defensive Rating

118.0

97.6

Pace

101.8

NYK (Away) WAS (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

Head-to-Head History

WAS wins

NYK wins

2026-03-22 NYK 113 @ WAS 145 WAS W

2026-02-03 NYK 132 @ WAS 101 NYK W

2025-11-03 NYK 102 @ WAS 119 WAS W

2025-03-22 NYK 103 @ WAS 122 WAS W

2024-12-30 NYK 126 @ WAS 106 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 82.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score