If NYK visited UTA today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 82.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -13.2 points for UTA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-9.2

117.3

Offensive Rating

110.2

113.3

Defensive Rating

119.4

97.6

Pace

100.8

NYK (Away) UTA (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

Head-to-Head History

UTA wins

NYK wins

2026-03-11 NYK 134 @ UTA 117 NYK W

2025-12-05 NYK 112 @ UTA 146 UTA W

2025-01-01 NYK 103 @ UTA 119 UTA W

2024-11-23 NYK 106 @ UTA 121 UTA W

2024-01-30 NYK 103 @ UTA 118 UTA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 82.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score