If NYK visited TOR today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 73.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -8.1 points for TOR at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-4.1

117.3

Offensive Rating

109.6

113.3

Defensive Rating

113.6

97.6

Pace

100.6

NYK (Away) TOR (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

TOR 49-40 L1 Avg margin last 5: +2.2

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

W CLE

Head-to-Head History

TOR wins

NYK wins

2026-04-10 NYK 95 @ TOR 112 TOR W

2026-03-03 NYK 111 @ TOR 95 NYK W

2026-01-28 NYK 119 @ TOR 92 NYK W

2025-12-09 NYK 117 @ TOR 101 NYK W

2025-11-30 NYK 94 @ TOR 116 TOR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 73.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score