If NYK visited SAS today, our model would lean San Antonio Spurs with a 51.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -6.8 points for SAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-2.8

117.3

Offensive Rating

113.5

113.3

Defensive Rating

116.3

97.6

Pace

100.1

NYK (Away) SAS (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

SAS 74-26 W2 Avg margin last 5: +5.6

W OKC

L OKC

W OKC

L OKC

Head-to-Head History

SAS wins

NYK wins

2026-06-13 NYK 94 @ SAS 90 NYK W

2026-06-10 NYK 106 @ SAS 107 SAS W

2026-06-08 NYK 115 @ SAS 111 NYK W

2026-06-05 NYK 105 @ SAS 104 NYK W

2026-06-03 NYK 105 @ SAS 95 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

68.1%

All Games

1358 tracked

75.7%

High Conf.

>65% picks

76.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.7% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score