If NYK visited POR today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -6.7 points for POR at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-2.7

117.3

Offensive Rating

111.0

113.3

Defensive Rating

113.7

97.6

Pace

99.5

NYK (Away) POR (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

POR 43-44 L3 Avg margin last 5: -12.4

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

Head-to-Head History

POR wins

NYK wins

2026-01-30 NYK 97 @ POR 127 POR W

2026-01-11 NYK 123 @ POR 114 NYK W

2025-03-30 NYK 93 @ POR 110 POR W

2025-03-12 NYK 114 @ POR 113 NYK W

2024-03-14 NYK 105 @ POR 93 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score