If NYK visited PHX today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -7.0 points for PHX at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-3.0

117.3

Offensive Rating

114.7

113.3

Defensive Rating

117.7

97.6

Pace

98.3

NYK (Away) PHX (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

PHX 45-41 L4 Avg margin last 5: -7.4

L OKC

W OKC

Head-to-Head History

PHX wins

NYK wins

2026-01-17 NYK 106 @ PHX 99 NYK W

2026-01-09 NYK 107 @ PHX 112 PHX W

2025-04-06 NYK 98 @ PHX 112 PHX W

2024-11-20 NYK 138 @ PHX 122 NYK W

2023-12-15 NYK 139 @ PHX 122 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score