If NYK visited ORL today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -4.2 points for ORL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-0.2

117.3

Offensive Rating

108.9

113.3

Defensive Rating

109.1

97.6

Pace

96.5

NYK (Away) ORL (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

ORL 48-41 L3 Avg margin last 5: -5.8

L DET

W DET

Head-to-Head History

ORL wins

NYK wins

2025-12-13 NYK 132 @ ORL 120 NYK W

2025-12-07 NYK 100 @ ORL 106 ORL W

2025-11-22 NYK 121 @ ORL 133 ORL W

2025-11-12 NYK 124 @ ORL 107 NYK W

2025-01-06 NYK 103 @ ORL 94 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score