If NYK visited NOP today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -13.4 points for NOP at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-9.4

117.3

Offensive Rating

109.7

113.3

Defensive Rating

119.1

97.6

Pace

99.8

NYK (Away) NOP (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

Head-to-Head History

NOP wins

NYK wins

2026-03-24 NYK 116 @ NOP 121 NOP W

2025-12-29 NYK 130 @ NOP 125 NYK W

2024-12-21 NYK 104 @ NOP 93 NYK W

2024-12-01 NYK 85 @ NOP 118 NOP W

2024-02-27 NYK 115 @ NOP 92 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score