If NYK visited DEN today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 73.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -0.2 points for DEN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

3.8

117.3

Offensive Rating

118.9

113.3

Defensive Rating

115.1

97.6

Pace

100.7

NYK (Away) DEN (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

DEN 56-32 L1 Avg margin last 5: -7.6

L MIN

W MIN

L MIN

Head-to-Head History

DEN wins

NYK wins

2026-03-06 NYK 142 @ DEN 103 NYK W

2026-02-04 NYK 127 @ DEN 134 DEN W

2025-01-29 NYK 112 @ DEN 122 DEN W

2024-11-25 NYK 145 @ DEN 118 NYK W

2024-03-21 NYK 100 @ DEN 113 DEN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 73.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score