If NYK visited DAL today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -5.3 points for DAL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-1.3

117.3

Offensive Rating

113.7

113.3

Defensive Rating

115.0

97.6

Pace

100.2

NYK (Away) DAL (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

DAL 26-56 W1 Avg margin last 5: -2.0

W CHI

L SAS

L PHX

L LAC

W LAL

Head-to-Head History

DAL wins

NYK wins

2026-01-19 NYK 114 @ DAL 97 NYK W

2025-11-19 NYK 113 @ DAL 111 NYK W

2025-03-25 NYK 113 @ DAL 128 DAL W

2024-11-27 NYK 114 @ DAL 129 DAL W

2024-02-08 NYK 122 @ DAL 108 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score