If NYK visited CHI today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -5.6 points for CHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-1.6

117.3

Offensive Rating

113.2

113.3

Defensive Rating

114.8

97.6

Pace

103.6

NYK (Away) CHI (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

Head-to-Head History

CHI wins

NYK wins

2026-04-03 NYK 96 @ CHI 136 CHI W

2026-02-22 NYK 105 @ CHI 99 NYK W

2025-11-02 NYK 116 @ CHI 128 CHI W

2025-10-31 NYK 125 @ CHI 135 CHI W

2025-02-20 NYK 111 @ CHI 113 CHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score