If NYK visited CHA today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -13.1 points for CHA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-9.1

117.3

Offensive Rating

106.7

113.3

Defensive Rating

115.7

97.6

Pace

98.2

NYK (Away) CHA (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

Head-to-Head History

CHA wins

NYK wins

2026-04-12 NYK 110 @ CHA 96 NYK W

2026-03-26 NYK 103 @ CHA 114 CHA W

2025-12-03 NYK 104 @ CHA 119 CHA W

2025-11-26 NYK 129 @ CHA 101 NYK W

2025-03-20 NYK 98 @ CHA 115 CHA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score