If NYK visited BOS today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +5.4 points for BOS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

9.4

117.3

Offensive Rating

119.5

113.3

Defensive Rating

110.1

97.6

Pace

96.6

NYK (Away) BOS (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

BOS 59-30 L3 Avg margin last 5: +0.4

L PHI

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

BOS wins

NYK wins

2026-04-09 NYK 106 @ BOS 112 BOS W

2026-02-08 NYK 111 @ BOS 89 NYK W

2025-12-02 NYK 117 @ BOS 123 BOS W

2025-10-24 NYK 95 @ BOS 105 BOS W

2025-05-16 NYK 81 @ BOS 119 BOS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score