If NYK visited ATL today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -5.1 points for ATL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.0

Net Rating

-1.1

117.3

Offensive Rating

113.7

113.3

Defensive Rating

114.8

97.6

Pace

103.4

NYK (Away) ATL (Home)

Recent Form

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

ATL 48-40 L3 Avg margin last 5: -18.8

L NYK

W NYK

Head-to-Head History

ATL wins

NYK wins

2026-04-30 NYK 140 @ ATL 89 NYK W

2026-04-28 NYK 97 @ ATL 126 ATL W

2026-04-25 NYK 114 @ ATL 98 NYK W

2026-04-23 NYK 108 @ ATL 109 ATL W

2026-04-20 NYK 107 @ ATL 106 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score