If NOP visited PHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +3.1 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.4

Net Rating

-6.3

109.7

Offensive Rating

111.0

119.1

Defensive Rating

117.3

99.8

Pace

98.1

NOP (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

NOP wins

2026-02-21 NOP 111 @ PHI 126 PHI W

2026-01-31 NOP 114 @ PHI 124 PHI W

2025-03-24 NOP 99 @ PHI 112 PHI W

2025-01-10 NOP 123 @ PHI 115 NOP W

2024-03-08 NOP 103 @ PHI 95 NOP W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score