If NOP visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +13.4 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.4

Net Rating

4.0

109.7

Offensive Rating

117.3

119.1

Defensive Rating

113.3

99.8

Pace

97.6

NOP (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

NOP wins

2026-03-24 NOP 116 @ NYK 121 NYK W

2025-12-29 NOP 130 @ NYK 125 NOP W

2024-12-21 NOP 104 @ NYK 93 NOP W

2024-12-01 NOP 85 @ NYK 118 NYK W

2024-02-27 NOP 115 @ NYK 92 NOP W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score