If NOP visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +14.3 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.4

Net Rating

4.9

109.7

Offensive Rating

114.3

119.1

Defensive Rating

109.4

99.8

Pace

98.2

NOP (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

NOP wins

2026-03-19 NOP 99 @ LAC 105 LAC W

2026-03-18 NOP 109 @ LAC 124 LAC W

2026-03-01 NOP 117 @ LAC 137 LAC W

2025-10-31 NOP 124 @ LAC 126 LAC W

2025-04-02 NOP 98 @ LAC 114 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score