If NOP visited BKN today, our model would lean New Orleans Pelicans with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +2.1 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.4

Net Rating

-7.3

109.7

Offensive Rating

108.1

119.1

Defensive Rating

115.4

99.8

Pace

96.7

NOP (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

NOP wins

2026-01-14 NOP 113 @ BKN 116 BKN W

2025-12-06 NOP 101 @ BKN 119 BKN W

2025-04-08 NOP 114 @ BKN 119 BKN W

2024-11-11 NOP 107 @ BKN 105 NOP W

2024-03-19 NOP 104 @ BKN 91 NOP W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score