If MIN visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 65.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -1.0 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

5.0

Net Rating

4.0

115.7

Offensive Rating

117.3

110.8

Defensive Rating

113.3

98.0

Pace

97.6

MIN (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

MIN 55-39 L2 Avg margin last 5: -19.8

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

MIN wins

2025-12-23 MIN 104 @ NYK 115 NYK W

2025-11-05 MIN 114 @ NYK 137 NYK W

2025-01-17 MIN 116 @ NYK 99 MIN W

2024-12-19 MIN 133 @ NYK 107 MIN W

2024-01-01 MIN 106 @ NYK 112 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score